Hydrological droughts in Sweden now and in the future:
Hotspots of hazard, vulnerability, and risk

This FORMAS-funded project aims at the characterization and early recognition of critical hydrological drought conditions in Sweden, and will facilitate the development of a universal modeling framework for reliable simulations of hydrological droughts, which acknowledges the importance of proper evapotranspiration estimates for integrated climate change modeling. The goal is to identify hotspots of hydrological drought hazard, vulnerability and risk under current and future climate conditions.

The project has been launched in 2016. Research is ongoing.

Workpackage 1: Historical drought hazards & drought characterization

Mapping historical hydrological drought hazards and identifying the primary climate conditions and landscape traits causing hydrological droughts in Sweden.

Workpackage 2: Benchmarking of ET approaches

Benchmarking different approaches to estimate ET in terms of their transferability to conditions different from those that they were calibrated to.

Workpackage 3: Drought hazard modeling framework

Developing a reliable modeling framework for predicting hydrological drought hazards and mapping HD signatures now and in an uncertain future.

Workpackage 4: Drought vulnerability

Mapping of hydrological drought vulnerability based on stakeholder experience, perception and risk management strategies.

Workpackage 5: Drought risk

Mapping hotspots of drought risk by combining the ‘nature system’ component (WPs 1-3) with the ‘use and social system’ component (WP 4).